Iowa Political Analyst - Elections Expert
- Toronto, ON, Canada
Remote
$100 to $200 CAD / hour
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Job details
- Pay
- $100 to $200 CAD / hour
- Workplace
- Remote
- Experience
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.
- Posting language
- English
Original job description
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Local Political Expert (Iowa) - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $100–$200/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.
Qualifications
Must-Have
- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Backgrounds in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in target states.
- Experience with state and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
- National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
More about this job
Responsibilities
The Iowa political expert at Mercor will write dated election reports and forecasts, judge polling and win odds, and explain how events affect politics and markets. The role also grades AI model analyses against their own standard.
Requirements
Candidates need 8+ years of hands-on experience on specific swing-state races, deep knowledge of the Iowa electorate and candidates, and strong polling literacy. A record of live judgments on race odds is required.
Skills
- Election forecasting
- Polling analysis
- Survey research
- Causal event analysis
- Political risk assessment
- Probability estimation
- Swing-state electoral analysis
- Iowa electorate knowledge
- Report writing
- Model evaluation
- Asynchronous work
Categories
- Consulting
- Government & Public Sector
- Data & Analytics
Keywords
- Iowa politics
- political analyst
- elections forecasting
- political risk
- polling
- win probabilities
- market-implied odds
- swing states
- electoral analysis
- survey research
- causal analysis
- political science
- campaign analytics
- AI training
- remote contract
Seniority
Senior
Languages
- English