Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting
- Toronto, ON, Canada
Remote
$150 to $250 CAD / hour
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Job details
- Pay
- $150 to $250 CAD / hour
- Workplace
- Remote
- Experience
- 8+ years of direct experience or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
- Posting language
- English
Original job description
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Political Expert - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$250/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.
Qualifications
Must-Have
- A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, or senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate, or governor races.
- Background in political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
More about this job
Responsibilities
The Political Expert at Mercor will write dated political reports and forecasts, judge polling and election odds, and explain what drives political and market impact. They will also grade AI-generated analyses against their own standard, working independently and on deadlines.
Requirements
Mercor needs a senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling expert or political-risk analyst with 8+ years of experience. Candidates must have a track record of live calls on polls, win probabilities or odds, and strong polling literacy and causal analysis.
Skills
- Election forecasting
- Polling analysis
- Polling methodology
- Win probability modelling
- Political risk analysis
- Causal event analysis
- Statistical analysis
- Market-implied odds assessment
- Campaign strategy
- Political report writing
- Forecast evaluation
- Model output review
- Asynchronous work
- Independent work
- Written analysis
Categories
- Consulting
- Data & Analytics
- Government & Public Sector
- Finance & Accounting
Keywords
- elections forecasting
- political risk
- political analyst
- polling
- win probability
- election forecasting
- campaign strategy
- political science
- statistical methodology
- market-implied odds
- political reports
- causal analysis
- AI training
- remote contract
- decision desk
- Eurasia Group
- EIU
- contract
- remote
Seniority
Senior
Languages
- English